A national Newspoll, conducted October 30 to November 3 from a sample of 1,220 people, gave Labor a 52–48% lead over the Coalition, a two-point gain for the Coalition since the final Newspoll before the October 14 Voice referendum. This is Labor’s narrowest lead in Newspoll since the 2022 federal election.
The historical Newspoll results may be helpful to better contextualize the most recent results.
Phrasing makes the story of course.
“Slumping”
“Worst”
“Damaging”
“Heavy defeat”
Over a two percent swing against them, and they’re still ahead of the opposition, but it’s all doom and gloom for Labor, isn’t it?
I mean glancing through the article shows polling for them isn’t fantastic, but that kind of title just doesn’t get the clicks.
the hit was inevitable after the voice, but that will blow over. even as someone who is generally pretty happy with the government, they are dropping the ball on cost of living and arent even talking about it, i’d expect no less from the coalition but labor are better than this
Eh, it’s 10 points down on PM approval, with a net approval decline of 40 (!) in 3 months. I think the descriptions are pretty fair when applied to the combination of polls, especially since “worst” is objective in this context.
Hmm maybe I am responding more to the emphasis on the negativity in the summary/title than the actual numbers.
Being a weak government without the backbone to make meaningful changes for fear of astroturfed backlash will disenchant one side, and not being the coalition will disenchant the other side…
end of the day, good. I feel all politicians need to know when it is perceived they are doing a good job vs when they aren’t
With Dutton in the opposition Albanese doesn’t even need to try. He can practically do whatever he wants and be re-elected next time.
Maybe the real issue is the inevitable neoliberal malaise? Maybe constant bureaucratic tinkering with capitalist liberal democracy has failed to deliver a fair and just society?
The predictable labor strategy is to shoot themselves in the foot with a leadership spill and then just manage to squeeze over the line for a second term.
