Rationalist check-list:
- Incorrect use of analogy? Check.
- Pseudoscientific nonsense used to make your point seem more profound? Check.
- Tortured use of probability estimates? Check.
- Over-long description of a point that could just have easily been made in 1 sentence? Check.
This email by SBF is basically one big malapropism.
I love the notion that the tension between the two was “created out of thin air,” and the solution is to drag both parties into it and make them say “either I agree with you or I’m a big stupid dummy who doesn’t care about my company.”