🗳️ POLL | Reform lead by 11pts

➡️ Ref: 30% (+2) 🔵 Con: 19% (-1) 🔴 Lab: 17% (-2) 🟢 Grn: 15% (+2) 🟠 Lib: 14% (-1)

– Seats – ➡️ Ref: 361 🟠 Lib: 84 🟢 Grn: 54 🔵 Con: 47 🟡 SNP: 44 🔴 Lab: 33

Poll: @TechneUK , 13 Feb (+/- vs 16 Jan)

https://x.com/LeftieStats/status/2022355125688295757

  • Awoo [she/her]@hexbear.net
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    12 days ago

    Nothing in the UK matters until an election is called. The Tories were supposed to gain seats under Theresa May and she very nearly lost the election to Corbyn.

    • godisidog [none/use name]@hexbear.net
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      12 days ago

      For real, polling this far out is a reflection of general vibes - in this case a real frustration with the establishment parties - but the numbers don’t really matter.

    • Doubledee [comrade/them]@hexbear.net
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      12 days ago

      I knew Starver was fumbling but I didn’t realize Labour was eating shit this bad. I mean polls aren’t ironclad but boy they sure are flailing over on Nonce Island.

      • Snort_Owl [they/them]@hexbear.net
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        12 days ago

        It’s been policy failure after policy failure because he’s trying to be the conservative party in a time where everyone was sick of the conservatives. It was basically the only opportunity for Labour to actually do something and shift the tide of UK politics but he’s such a disgusting little neoliberal bellend he couldn’t even do one useful thing.

        • Awoo [she/her]@hexbear.net
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          12 days ago

          he’s trying to be the conservative party in a time where everyone was sick of the conservatives

          On the positive side, that is also what Reform will be. Things could swing very quickly against Nigel without something sincerely different.

          • Snort_Owl [they/them]@hexbear.net
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            12 days ago

            I don’t think he has the nards the do anything drastic but it aint gonna be a fun period either way. Or it will be a roaring success if he reverses the porn block and we’ll be a reform country for the next 100 years while starmer added another 1000 years of fuel to the “at least theyre not labour” fire

            • Awoo [she/her]@hexbear.net
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              12 days ago

              He’s gonna do absolutely insane shit and it’s going to cause a national meltdown. He will sincerely move to implement an insurance based healthcare system claiming the one we have is now well past failure and his voters will be unbelievably PISSED and feel lied to.

              If he does nothing they’ll be pissed, if he does something they’ll also be pissed. There isn’t a winning move.

  • ExistentialNightmare@lemmygrad.ml
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    11 days ago

    Capitalism is in decay, and the party which were supposed to be the social democratic workers party - Labour - have been mask off, right-wing capitalists. Meanwhile, the billionaires are preventing class consciousness from developing by funding the anti-immgration nonsense.

    Under these conditions, of course Reform will do well however, no matter how much they try, people in the UK are seeing the western capitalism system in more and more of a negative lens thanks to all of the scandals the past few years, particularly the Epstein files, all of the failures of neoliberalism and austerity, the NHS being left to rot, kids starving, the rise of China proving socialism still can succeed, the Palestinian genocide which we were aiding Israel in doing, and much more.

    Labour and the Tories will very likely remain unpopular, Reform I can’t see getting much more popular, they’ll probably retain about 30% of the votes. The LibDems will do quite well picking up those not woke enough for the Greens but not fascist enough for Reform. And the Greens, who are not just the environmentalists party but are becoming under new leadership, a leftist populist party, are not to be underestimated. I wouldn’t bet my life on them winning but I can see it happening even though currently it seems so unlikely to most.