The data on prices is getting better, but the public’s disapproval of the president remains unchanged.
    • Skepticpunk@lemmy.worldEnglish
      10·
      5 months ago

      No. 538 gave Trump the best chances out of any model, which Nate was criticized heavily for. 1-in-3 chances, which is what Trump had in 2016, are still pretty likely.

    • cbarrick@lemmy.worldEnglish
      81·
      5 months ago

      Everyone was wrong in 2016.

      538 was the least wrong of any model anywhere.

      And Nate Silver was ridiculed at the time for giving Trump such a high chance of winning, before the election.

    • istanbullu@lemmy.ml
      1·
      5 months ago

      538 gave Trump and Clinton similar chances. They essentially called the race too close to call.