Super Rugby obviously has a bit of a weird structure now with only 11 teams after the Melbourne Rebels collapsed.
It got me thinking a bit about what NZR & ARU could change assuming no other countries are going to join, and one thing I wondered was whether New Zealand should deliberately weaken our Super franchises to help make the Australian ones more competitive & hopefully make their public a bit more interested (if they win more).
So I started to think about what the population spread was like around New Zealand and one thing that really sticks out is how bottom heavy our current distribution of clubs is. 1 million punters in the South Island get 2 franchises, but 4.5m odd North Islanders only get 3 + Moana Pasifika. Its actually a bit silly that the Highlanders still exist given the population shifts since the 90s.
Anyway, that made me wonder if it might be possible to in effect add a 6th New Zealand franchise - which including MP would make 7 based in New Zealand in total, so came up with this before & after table to show how its a much more equitable split. And then 7 NZ, 4 Aus & 1 Fiji gets us back to 12 Franchises and at least in NZ gets more games in front of more people.
Super Franchise | Population Approx | Provinces | Population (2018) | Stadiums | Capacity |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Auckland Blues | 1850k | Northland | 186k | Semenoff Stadium | 19k |
Counties-Manukau | 1 | Navigation Homes Stadium | 12k | ||
North Harbour | 1 | North Harbour Stadium | 25k | ||
Auckland | 1655k | Eden Park | 50k | ||
Waikato Chiefs | 920k | Bay of Plenty | 321k | Rotorua International Stadium, Mercury Baypark | 26k & 20k |
Waikato | 476k | FMG Stadium | 25k | ||
Taranaki | 121k | Yarrow Stadium | 25k | ||
Wellington Hurricanes | 950k | Hawke’s Bay | 172k | McLean Park | 24k |
Manawatū | 248k2 | Arena Manawatu | 15k | ||
Wellington | 526k | Sky Stadium | 35k | ||
Canterbury Crusaders | 725k | Tasman | 103k3 | Trafalgar Park | 18k |
Canterbury | 623k | One NZ Stadium4 | 30k | ||
Otago Highlanders | 335k | Otago | 235k | Forsyth Barr Stadium | 31k |
Southland | 101k | Rugby Park | 17k | ||
Moana Pasifika5 | - | North Harbour based | - | North Harbour Stadium | 25k |
- 1 Included with Auckland.
- 2 Includes Whanganui in the census data.
- 3 From 2026 I think the new stadium is supposed to be in use.
- 4 Includes Marlborough, same as the NPC Province
- 5 Moana Pasifika are currently, and for the forseeable future going to be playing most of their matches in New Zealand, neither Samoa nor Tonga have stadiums and infrastructure setup to host like Fiji Drua have.
- Population regions not included:
-
- Gisborne 50k - because its quite remote from either Hurricanes or Chiefs
-
- West Coast South Island 32k - because its remote from everywhere
New Regional Franchise | Provinces | Population Approx | Stadiums |
---|---|---|---|
Auckland North | Northland | 850k | Semenoff Stadium |
North Harbour | North Harbour Stadium | ||
Auckland South | Auckland | 850k | Eden Park |
Counties-Manukau | Navigation Homes Stadium | ||
West North Island | Waikato | 600k | FMG Stadium |
Taranaki | Yarrow Stadium | ||
East North Island | Bay of Plenty | 550k6 | Rotorua International Stadium, Mercury Baypark |
Hawke’s Bay | McLean Park | ||
Bottom North Island | Wellington | 770k | Sky Stadium |
Manawatū | Arena Manawatu | ||
Canterbury Crusaders | Tasman | 725k | Trafalgar Park |
Canterbury | One NZ Stadium | ||
Otago Highlanders | Otago | 335k | Forsyth Barr Stadium |
Southland | Rugby Park |
- 6 I included Gisborne population in this one as with a franchise based in this part of the country they are a bit more included than they are with the Chiefs or Hurricanes.
Just splitting points into different comments because i’m terrible at excessive word counts :)
Can’t demote anybody to the NPC from Super Rugby as they’re completely separate competitions. Eg the Highlanders are in effect already playing NPC, just as their constituent parts - Southland & Otago.
In part a move to expand the NZ based franchises to 7 teams is to alleviate what NZR want to do to the NPC (along with their media pundits) which is to completely trash it as its costing so much money and not pulling in huge eyeballs.
There’s a big contrast between stories like the below, where Hawke’s Bay have made profits 25 years running compared to most of the provincial unions which are constantly spending below their means and being a net drain on NZR.
https://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/money-ball-how-hawkes-bay-rugby-has-defied-the-new-zealand-sporting-credit-crunch/YHLRKMVNY5G3ZCKFIKTML2WOZU/
So as much as I hate the idea, the NPC probably does have to change to downgrade its expense, but if that’s not coupled with expansion of Super my fear is that NZ will grow increasingly disconnected from Rugby and NZR will essentially be biting the hand that feeds.