In terms of guessing how a completely normal election goes, I agree, but we shouldn’t discount that basically the entire Democrat platform is “there is no alternative” and “a vote not for us is a vote for Trump” and so on. I think they really do want better things that the Dems opposed, but they have learned helplessness about it, and it’s our job as socialists to seize on the former and beat back the latter, which is a much more favorable position than if the general population was as far to the right as Dems pretend it is, even if it’s still bleak.