• TropicalDingdong@lemmy.world
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    5 months ago

    So Bush Jr. had the lowest approval rating for a president that won a second term. He ended his second term with one of the lowest approval rating of any president of all time (just a short and curly ahead of Nixon).

    Some detail:

    Including George W. Bush

    Approval Shifts:
        Mean Shift: 1.91%
        Standard Deviation: 10.53%
    Winning Candidates' Approval Ratings:
        Mean Approval Rating: 50.73%
        Standard Deviation: 11.14%
    

    Excluding George W. Bush

    Approval Shifts:
        Mean Shift: 3.60%
        Standard Deviation: 9.40%
    Winning Candidates' Approval Ratings:
        Mean Approval Rating: 56.35%
        Standard Deviation: 4.31%
    

    Notice how the standard deviation associated with the winning candidate tightens up significantly with out Bush?

    I do publish the results of these analyses, here, on lemmy. However, I just have a day job that has prevented me from doing “the rest” of this analysis. This is only one part of a larger analysis I have planned.

    Here are the two distributions: